ndasmdsam
0xe3636d73b3c69076929fafc0cbb43009401ebe8b
- Realised P&L
- $-57.91
- Volume
- $1.26M
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $18.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.949 | $7.83 | +$0.07 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.962 | 0.962 | $5.88 | +$0.00 |
| Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.930 | 0.955 | $4.93 | +$0.13 |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-10-04? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-04? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-05? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
| White Sox vs. Royals · White Sox | 0.418 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.00 |
| Phillies vs. Nationals · Phillies | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$116.00 |
| Tigers vs. Twins · Twins | 0.496 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Rays vs. Giants · Giants | 0.546 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05? · Yes | 0.568 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Braves vs. Guardians · Guardians | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.00 |
| Will New York City FC win on 2025-10-04? · Yes | 0.266 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-05? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.00 |
| Liberty vs Lynx · Liberty | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.00at 0.270Mix vs. Wiklacz
- +$119.88at 0.999Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$98.18at 0.550Padres vs. Dodgers
- +$97.21at 0.514Angels vs. Athletics
- +$86.90at 0.580Rangers vs. Blue Jays
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 12:44 | Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.9099999974 | $6.89 |
| 07-01 16:45 | Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299999903 | $4.80 |
| 06-01 17:47 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | SELL | 0.79 | $27.70 |
| 06-01 15:42 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? | BUY | 0.9759999979 | $3.72 |
| 05-14 15:50 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.7699999874 | $30.00 |
| 04-25 20:12 | Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999952 | $7.76 |
| 04-25 20:10 | Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.961999999 | $5.88 |
| 03-19 11:25 | Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | BUY | 0.9479999979 | $3.68 |
| 12-06 19:30 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025? | BUY | 0.986 | $48.00 |
| 11-16 17:17 | Will Czechia win on 2025-11-17? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.4k |
| 11-16 17:16 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.991 | $54.66 |
| 11-16 17:16 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.995 | $199.60 |
| 10-03 15:17 | Mix vs. Wiklacz | BUY | 0.2699999964 | $52.15 |
| 10-03 15:16 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-10-05? | BUY | 0.2799999946 | $29.00 |
| 10-03 15:15 | Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-05? | BUY | 0.7099999981 | $26.00 |