WellingtonTaylor
0xe28daa03ada4b2bcde76a9feac5980430d2e580a
- Realised P&L
- $-119.89
- Volume
- $851.30
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $3.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.950 | $3.03 | +$0.03 |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) · Clippers | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$273.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.80at 0.440Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5
- +$0.33at 0.920Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$0.32at 0.940Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
- +$0.19at 0.940Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$0.16at 0.950Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,060,000 by February 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-15 15:11 | Spread: Clippers (-5.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $269.78 |
| 04-11 04:28 | Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $119.06 |
| 03-04 13:54 | Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate primary be between 1,750,000 and 2,000,000 voters? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 03-04 13:54 | Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by 9% or more? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 03-04 13:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | BUY | 0.9949999815 | $7.00 |
| 02-22 14:47 | Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399997744 | $3.00 |
| 02-22 14:45 | Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.9399999937 | $3.00 |
| 02-22 14:44 | Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 01-29 11:41 | Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,060,000 by February 1? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 01-29 11:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9199999128 | $3.80 |
| 01-29 11:41 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000? | BUY | 0.97 | $2.60 |
| 01-29 11:41 | Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election? | BUY | 0.9689999921 | $3.20 |