PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xe1ec7a665023c569a4e6b52337756bd7864cf7db

Realised P&L
$-167.37
Volume
$13.1k
Markets traded
482
Open portfolio
$35.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded482
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6230.994$6.12+$2.28
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7270.988$5.44+$1.44
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.4600.905$5.26+$2.59
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? · No0.5800.991$3.37+$1.40
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.4500.670$3.00+$0.99
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.5400.365$2.69$1.29
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.6200.570$2.06$0.18
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat? · No0.1200.080$1.84$0.92
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06? · Yes0.7600.974$1.73+$0.38
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.3500.370$1.18+$0.06
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0370.042$1.08+$0.12
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? · Yes0.3400.235$0.82$0.36
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.3400.158$0.54$0.62
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-08 House seat? · Yes0.4300.064$0.27$1.54
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.4400.030$0.08$1.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-13 12:04Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?SELL0.017$0.40
05-08 14:35Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.211$1.10
05-08 14:35Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.34$1.16
05-08 14:34Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.76$1.26
05-07 18:40Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.44$1.17
05-07 18:12Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?BUY0.76$1.35
05-07 17:54Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.73$1.34
05-07 17:39Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.73$1.34
05-07 17:26Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.037$0.97
05-07 17:16Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.72$1.33
05-07 16:52Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.35$1.12
05-07 16:25Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.84$1.39
05-07 15:59Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.63$1.29
05-07 15:50Will Gary Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?BUY0.0233506173$0.95
05-07 15:32Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.62$1.28