marik0325
0xe19bc3764ca6c036fab52137178999860d3db767
- Realised P&L
- $4.2k
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $231.97
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar35.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $61.42 | +$0.33 |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No | 0.955 | 0.968 | $50.67 | +$0.68 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.940 | $50.29 | +$0.53 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.935 | $49.55 | −$0.27 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.968 | 0.954 | $20.02 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.450Golden Knights vs. Oilers
- +$950.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down on August 8?
- +$507.84at 0.520Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore
- +$499.80at 0.510Astros vs. Marlins
- +$475.15at 0.570Cubs vs. Nationals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 08:48 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $50.00 |
| 03-11 10:11 | Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.09 |
| 08-05 10:11 | Astros vs. Marlins | BUY | 0.51 | $520.20 |
| 08-04 11:31 | Brewers vs. Braves | BUY | 0.57 | $528.39 |
| 06-30 09:00 | Giants vs. Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.57 | $526.68 |
| 06-05 06:30 | Cubs vs. Nationals | BUY | 0.57 | $629.85 |
| 05-29 08:01 | Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore | BUY | 0.52 | $550.16 |
| 05-22 11:14 | Brewers vs. Pirates | BUY | 0.55 | $515.90 |
| 05-16 11:14 | Celtics vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.57 | $550.05 |
| 05-10 06:49 | Golden Knights vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.45 | $41.03 |