apacer
0xe16ae95c0aac8e59ee973f76f835bac5b801f6c4
- Realised P&L
- $-12.47
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $15.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.92at 0.122Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 27?
- +$13.80at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 1?
- +$12.80at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 1?
- +$10.31at 0.178Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 30?
- +$9.00at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 08-04 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0925925926 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 15:40 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 08-02 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.17 |
| 08-01 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 07-30 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.55 |
| 07-30 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 07-30 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 07-30 11:44 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.205 | $1.02 |
| 07-30 11:32 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.151 | $1.51 |
| 07-30 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |