Mr.SilverTongue
0xe168f1d52626e6d49d2c1967cfb5b17f962904de
- Realised P&L
- $-262.46
- Volume
- $15.1k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $128.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31? · No | 0.810 | 0.710 | $87.65 | −$12.35 |
| Will Russia enter Stinky by August 31? · No | 0.764 | 0.575 | $37.64 | −$12.36 |
| Will Russia enter Myrne by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.415 | 0.014 | $3.37 | −$96.63 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.59at 0.795Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 16?
- +$25.06at 0.121Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?
- +$23.13at 0.811Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 16?
- +$21.46at 0.699Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on March 9?
- +$21.35at 0.660Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:25 | Will Russia enter Myrne by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3010877971 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 17:08 | Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 16:48 | Will Russia enter Stinky by August 31? | BUY | 0.7638072837 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 16:22 | Will Russia enter Myrne by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6676352318 | $50.00 |
| 05-09 19:02 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 03-18 15:46 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 18? | SELL | 0.993 | $115.06 |
| 03-18 15:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 18? | SELL | 0.0215154959 | $2.84 |
| 03-18 13:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 18? | SELL | 0.49 | $8.33 |
| 03-18 13:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 18? | BUY | 0.759999997 | $49.17 |
| 03-18 13:36 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 18? | BUY | 0.8499999983 | $49.59 |
| 03-18 13:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 18? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.37 |
| 03-18 13:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 18? | SELL | 0.5510990736 | $35.10 |
| 03-18 12:41 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 18? | BUY | 0.8699999988 | $49.68 |
| 03-18 12:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 18? | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $48.52 |
| 03-18 12:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 18? | BUY | 0.7424272418 | $49.09 |