vultreer
0xe0c66314be21de455fe70d9ca0992bb203284d0f
- Realised P&L
- $-187.01
- Volume
- $796.23
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $400.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-23.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.753 | 1.000 | $257.07 | +$63.44 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.909 | 1.000 | $79.96 | +$7.26 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 4? · No | 0.958 | 1.000 | $63.34 | +$2.63 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.789 | 0.001 | $0.15 | −$236.94 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.256 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$19.21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.19 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9085714286 | $63.60 |
| 08-04 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7614583333 | $36.55 |
| 08-04 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7290738255 | $65.18 |
| 08-04 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.68 | $8.84 |
| 08-04 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8087725809 | $115.51 |
| 08-04 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 08-04 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8034907782 | $35.72 |
| 08-04 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7739826213 | $42.75 |
| 08-04 06:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.958 | $60.71 |
| 08-04 05:46 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.42 |
| 08-04 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.42 | $14.63 |