Vlmk
0xe013cd0c85a0a075eeb52dac28e6137444be6c26
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $313.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,235
- Open portfolio
- $637.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,235
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 5? · No | 0.990 | 0.996 | $298.80 | +$1.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 6? · No | 0.961 | 0.975 | $170.91 | +$2.43 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or below on August 5? · No | 0.988 | 0.994 | $121.02 | +$0.64 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on August 6? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $37.25 | +$0.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 6? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $9.95 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.87at 0.831Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
- +$40.95at 0.939Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on March 3?
- +$40.31at 0.893Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on February 26?
- +$39.58at 0.628Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?
- +$36.37at 0.954Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $297.00 |
| 08-04 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $62.68 |
| 08-04 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 08-04 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 08-04 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-04 03:58 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $23.05 |
| 08-04 03:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on August 5? | SELL | 0.996 | $0.65 |
| 08-03 18:33 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 18:32 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-03 18:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 5? | SELL | 0.995 | $10.15 |
| 08-03 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-03 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 08-03 04:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.94 |
| 08-03 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $21.37 |
| 08-03 04:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.89 |