PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xDFCA4EE98374F62A1D4985aC9272260e09BA645a-1775178905321

0xdfca4ee98374f62a1d4985ac9272260e09ba645a

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$1.33M
Markets traded
1,517
Open portfolio
$98.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,517
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0370.015$82.07$116.02
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? · Yes0.2770.285$5.70+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 3? · Yes0.4630.435$5.23$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 3? · Yes0.3490.355$2.48+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4? · Yes0.2780.195$1.95$0.82
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 3? · Yes0.1400.040$0.80$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 3? · Yes0.3300.135$0.54$0.78
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 2? · Yes0.3000.001$0.01$6.89
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 2? · Yes0.3290.001$0.00$2.44
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2? · Yes0.5700.001$0.00$3.42
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 12? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 19? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$0.54
Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? · Yes0.2870.000$0.00$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 12? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$1.89
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 16? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$2.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:59Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3?SELL0.31$1.86
08-03 03:47Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 3?SELL0.13$0.78
08-03 02:58Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.28$2.24
08-03 02:58Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.28$3.36
08-03 02:50Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3?SELL0.57$2.47
08-03 02:50Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.28$1.12
08-03 02:50Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 3?SELL0.08$0.39
08-03 02:50Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 4?SELL0.19$0.76
08-03 02:46Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4?BUY0.295$2.95
08-03 02:29Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 3?BUY0.47$3.29
08-03 02:28Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 3?BUY0.47$3.29
08-03 01:15Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 4?SELL0.19$0.95
08-03 01:09Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 4?SELL0.19$0.95
08-03 00:49Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 3?SELL0.24$1.68
08-03 00:49Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 3?SELL0.08$0.40