PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

TheUnfolding

0xdfb7c02247135c3edd2e6a8358f3991e4d299732

Realised P&L
$-348.21
Volume
$48.4k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$208.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.005$208.46$42.94
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64 · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump win 5 swing states? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00$20.00
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$30.00
Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin? · Georgia0.1900.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 2.0%-3.0%? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump win 6 swing states? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$20.00
Will Nevada be the closest state? · Yes0.1390.000$0.00$20.00
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34 · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Republican candidate win Georgia by 1.0%-2.0%? · Yes0.1750.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 22:06Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.009$50.49
09-30 20:52Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.007$50.30
09-11 04:13Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.006$50.64
09-05 19:10Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.006$100.00
11-09 03:37Will Trump win 30% of Black men?SELL0.00390009$0.22
11-08 22:18Who will win young men?SELL0.985$24.02
11-08 22:17Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep SELL0.9922637687$94.05
11-08 22:17Will Wisconsin be the closest state? SELL0.9727430032$116.09
11-08 22:16Who will win white women?SELL0.981$17.21
11-08 22:15Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%? SELL0.29$36.93
11-06 20:53Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0.5%-1.0%? SELL0.005$0.83
11-06 20:53Will Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?SELL0.02$2.00
11-06 20:49Trump wins 306-232 - AZ, GA, MI, PA, WI, NC SELL0.001$0.23
11-06 20:482024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HouseSELL0.01$0.63
11-06 20:46Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%? SELL0.013$2.31