0xdF8ACB7421bD6e8c60573a12d536356FA3c6316f-1772909874541
0xdf8acb7421bd6e8c60573a12d536356fa3c6316f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.40
- Volume
- $229.72
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $13.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.75at 0.570Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
- +$-0.01at 0.960US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
- +$-0.02at 0.860China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- +$-0.04at 0.940Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
- +$-0.25at 0.114Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-31 00:47 | Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.06 |
| 03-31 00:47 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.085 | $0.75 |
| 03-31 00:47 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.97 |
| 03-31 00:47 | US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.95 | $0.99 |
| 03-17 01:30 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026? | SELL | 0.178839779 | $0.32 |
| 03-11 02:42 | Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto | SELL | 0.92 | $1.95 |
| 03-08 18:55 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 18:52 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 18:47 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1139999097 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 16:41 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 16:37 | Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 16:32 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 16:28 | US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 16:26 | Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 16:26 | Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |