wal3sg00d
0xdef52786b267d666747e19bfcc8a3795f27ca7de
- Realised P&L
- $-811.63
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $220.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $90.72 | +$0.48 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.940 | $60.63 | +$0.64 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.935 | $49.55 | −$0.27 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.968 | 0.954 | $20.02 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.460Twins vs. Tigers
- +$499.80at 0.510Astros vs. Marlins
- +$410.08at 0.560Brewers vs. Pirates
- +$400.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on July 29?
- +$5.67at 0.940Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 08:48 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $50.00 |
| 03-11 10:04 | Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.49 |
| 08-05 05:19 | Astros vs. Marlins | BUY | 0.51 | $520.20 |
| 07-28 12:05 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.5 | $400.00 |
| 06-30 08:35 | Cardinals vs. Pirates | BUY | 0.54 | $506.52 |
| 06-05 06:02 | Diamondbacks vs. Braves | BUY | 0.57 | $555.18 |
| 05-22 12:36 | Brewers vs. Pirates | BUY | 0.56 | $521.92 |
| 05-19 13:44 | Timberwolves vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.28 | $153.56 |
| 05-09 10:47 | Golden Knights vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.53 | $517.81 |