0xde862906fC632FE876074A971d87fd09dCCED27f-1770872867074
0xde862906fc632fe876074a971d87fd09dcced27f
- Realised P&L
- $-193.24
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $7.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-02-18? · Yes | 0.340 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$3.30 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.280 | $1.40 | −$0.30 |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.117 | $0.59 | +$0.29 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.040 | $0.40 | −$3.40 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.4% in 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.076 | $0.38 | −$0.82 |
| Will "Hamnet" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.75 |
| Troy Trojans vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles · Troy Trojans | 0.226 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$166.12 |
| Will Partido Popular win 36-39 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.35 |
| Will Partido Popular win 44+ seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.15 |
| Will Partido Popular win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election? · Yes | 0.435 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.01at 0.360Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?
- +$-0.10at 0.270Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-02-14?
- +$-0.15at 0.580Will FK Dukla Praha vs. FC Zlín end in a draw?
- +$-0.15at 0.330Will MFK Karviná vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?
- +$-0.15at 0.230Will the match end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-15 03:42 | Troy Trojans vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles | BUY | 0.2262547824 | $166.12 |
| 02-14 15:25 | Will FK Dukla Praha vs. FC Zlín end in a draw? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 02-14 15:25 | Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-02-14? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 02-14 15:25 | Will 1. FC Slovácko vs. Bohemians Praha 1905 end in a draw? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 02-14 15:01 | Will 1. FC Slovácko vs. Bohemians Praha 1905 end in a draw? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.42 |
| 02-14 15:01 | Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-02-15? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.49 |
| 02-14 14:47 | Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Independiente end in a draw? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.96 |
| 02-14 14:47 | Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-02-19? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.10 |
| 02-14 14:47 | Will CA Independiente win on 2026-02-19? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.89 |
| 02-14 13:39 | Will Partido Popular win <28 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.01 |
| 02-14 13:34 | Will "Hamnet" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars? | SELL | 0.067 | $0.67 |
| 02-14 13:33 | Will Partido Popular win <28 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.72 |
| 02-14 13:29 | Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-19? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 02-14 13:29 | Will Partido Popular win <28 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.72 |
| 02-14 13:07 | Will Partido Popular win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |