0xde68293bce7ee14695a0d054b12c8f2e081242ce
- Realised P&L
- $70.63
- Volume
- $20.6k
- Markets traded
- 326
- Open portfolio
- $17.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded326
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.50at 0.010Will "Mexico" be in the headlines this week?
- +$42.85at 0.024Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
- +$28.80at 0.040Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Dodgers White House Visit?
- +$13.98at 0.300Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
- +$9.34at 0.410Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:00 | Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | SELL | 0.162 | $2.64 |
| 08-02 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-02 08:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 07-31 23:04 | Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.72 |
| 07-31 05:10 | Will "My Daughter's Father: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 07-30 19:22 | Will Trump say "Autonomous" or "Self Driving" during announcement on Freedom Haulers? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 07-30 19:06 | Will Trump say "Insurance" during announcement on Freedom Haulers? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 09:39 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 5? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 07-29 17:35 | Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Haley Stevens in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.42 |
| 07-29 14:38 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.881 | $44.05 |
| 07-29 10:15 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m? | SELL | 0.69 | $6.21 |
| 07-29 09:36 | Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.09 |
| 07-29 09:05 | Will "Jynxzi" be the #2 most watched Twitch streamer in July? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 07-28 15:33 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Fox & Friends appearance? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 07-28 15:04 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during Fox & Friends appearance? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.49 |