PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xde68293bce7ee14695a0d054b12c8f2e081242ce

Realised P&L
$70.63
Volume
$20.6k
Markets traded
326
Open portfolio
$17.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded326
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0200.050$2.50+$1.50
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31? · Yes0.1100.200$2.00+$0.90
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31? · Yes0.0700.095$1.90+$0.50
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on August 31? · Yes0.0340.034$1.80+$0.01
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.0200.035$1.75+$0.75
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.10T on August 31? · Yes0.0400.025$1.23$0.77
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on August 31? · Yes0.0570.065$1.17+$0.15
Will Ryan Gosling win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0700.045$0.94$0.53
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? · Yes0.0200.019$0.58$0.01
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? · Yes0.0100.017$0.41+$0.16
Will Shakira have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? · Yes0.0200.013$0.39$0.21
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? · Yes0.0300.035$0.35+$0.05
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.4%? · Yes0.0300.031$0.31+$0.01
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be less than or equal to 1.1%? · Yes0.0300.025$0.25$0.05
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be at least 3.0%? · Yes0.0300.025$0.24$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:00Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?SELL0.162$2.64
08-02 08:30Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 2?SELL0.001$0.04
08-02 08:22Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 2?SELL0.001$0.05
07-31 23:04Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?SELL0.015$0.72
07-31 05:10Will "My Daughter's Father: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?SELL0.01$0.20
07-30 19:22Will Trump say "Autonomous" or "Self Driving" during announcement on Freedom Haulers?SELL0.001$0.10
07-30 19:06Will Trump say "Insurance" during announcement on Freedom Haulers?SELL0.01$1.00
07-30 09:39Will MrBeast's next video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 5?SELL0.002$0.20
07-29 17:35Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Haley Stevens in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?SELL0.02$0.42
07-29 14:38Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?SELL0.881$44.05
07-29 10:15Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m?SELL0.69$6.21
07-29 09:36Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.1$2.09
07-29 09:05Will "Jynxzi" be the #2 most watched Twitch streamer in July?SELL0.01$0.05
07-28 15:33Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Fox & Friends appearance?SELL0.01$0.05
07-28 15:04Will Trump say "Transgender" during Fox & Friends appearance?SELL0.017$0.49