PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xEA4b8377634C81EAd6A2512b3Ce4f6c067C5A712-1768612109269

0xde53e38ca6eaf73981abf9eb98b93442dfb8cfd1

Realised P&L
$113.76
Volume
$414.29
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$13.46

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar27.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration69.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1000.125$6.25+$1.25
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.2510.225$3.59$0.41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0430.027$3.17$1.83
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0750.009$0.45$3.55
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.4090.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 14:08Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.2506023699$4.00
07-20 00:04Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0749999831$4.00
07-18 23:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1$5.00
07-18 00:08Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0425957318$5.00
07-17 23:40Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0529999903$5.00
07-17 23:37Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4089999884$10.00
07-17 23:32France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.3399999912$20.00