0xEA4b8377634C81EAd6A2512b3Ce4f6c067C5A712-1768612109269
0xde53e38ca6eaf73981abf9eb98b93442dfb8cfd1
- Realised P&L
- $113.76
- Volume
- $414.29
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $13.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar27.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.125 | $6.25 | +$1.25 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.251 | 0.225 | $3.59 | −$0.41 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.027 | $3.17 | −$1.83 |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.009 | $0.45 | −$3.55 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.409 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.34at 0.053Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$38.82at 0.340France vs. England: Team to Win
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 14:08 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.2506023699 | $4.00 |
| 07-20 00:04 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0749999831 | $4.00 |
| 07-18 23:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 00:08 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0425957318 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 23:40 | Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0529999903 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 23:37 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4089999884 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 23:32 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.3399999912 | $20.00 |