Shinich
0xdde983fbce06b0c9f2b6bc25ab0a44012b3d4bd5
- Realised P&L
- $-4.5k
- Volume
- $1.37M
- Markets traded
- 485
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded485
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9? · Yes | 0.557 | 0.450 | $2.4k | −$583.28 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 2? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.74 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.30 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 31? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.439Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
- +$765.09at 0.727Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?
- +$753.04at 0.374Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?
- +$498.61at 0.180Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?
- +$447.50at 0.010Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | SELL | 0.9 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 20:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.44 |
| 07-25 04:54 | Atlante FC vs. CF América: CF América O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.13 | $0.15 |
| 07-23 17:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.21 | $46.62 |
| 07-22 15:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 22? | SELL | 0.0218340726 | $6.60 |
| 07-22 03:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on July 21? | SELL | 0.005 | $4.55 |
| 07-19 21:49 | Will Mikel Merino Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award? | SELL | 0.023 | $1.64 |
| 07-16 23:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.36 | $5.85 |
| 07-16 23:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 16? | SELL | 0.00988 | $2.96 |
| 07-16 23:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.20 |
| 07-16 01:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.49 | $376.40 |
| 07-16 01:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19? | SELL | 0.47 | $18.80 |
| 07-15 20:40 | Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? | SELL | 0.007 | $3.29 |
| 07-14 19:31 | Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? | SELL | 0.159000144 | $33.12 |
| 07-14 19:27 | Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain? | SELL | 0.1 | $28.57 |