champy
0xddbc5a53eeedf71358c9205d8e51ede8027e05e5
- Realised P&L
- $-93.18
- Volume
- $19.4k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $40.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.251 | 0.043 | $40.61 | −$197.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.25at 0.807Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$22.86at 0.450Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$20.00at 0.600Solana above $190 on February 14?
- +$19.39at 0.380Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$12.15at 0.846Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-02 10:50 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $3.64 |
| 01-22 09:38 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3403169524 | $197.87 |
| 10-24 17:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999928 | $18.70 |
| 10-24 17:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999937 | $30.00 |
| 10-24 17:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.1404126202 | $20.00 |
| 10-24 17:40 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | SELL | 0.931 | $68.70 |
| 10-03 06:55 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8969999989 | $66.19 |
| 08-06 05:14 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.5908525734 | $63.08 |
| 07-07 07:54 | Will XRP dip to $1.4 in July? | BUY | 0.9559999997 | $60.30 |
| 06-10 07:03 | Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July? | BUY | 0.8699999997 | $52.46 |
| 05-07 08:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | BUY | 0.9719999999 | $51.00 |
| 05-04 07:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May? | BUY | 0.7199999997 | $400.00 |
| 05-02 14:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May? | BUY | 0.8464392645 | $758.31 |
| 05-02 08:54 | Will Ethereum reach $1900 in May? | BUY | 0.8099999959 | $183.33 |
| 05-01 06:39 | Will Barcelona win La Liga? | BUY | 0.8799999982 | $388.18 |