0xdd916d50ce811b1411e3ee4c46873c23131967eb
- Realised P&L
- $-2.80
- Volume
- $77.29
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $3.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during earnings call? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.635 | $3.86 | −$0.88 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.230 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$9.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.75at 0.240Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?
- +$3.36at 0.750Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
- +$-0.01at 0.502Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$-0.04at 0.510Another pandemic before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 15:24 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 19:02 | Will SpaceX say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7799999737 | $4.74 |
| 07-31 11:01 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999264 | $2.08 |
| 07-30 04:18 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999689 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 16:29 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.50 |
| 07-24 02:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.07 |