bmm2
0xdc41122f45e87890e790ae4f3aad2916776b362b
- Realised P&L
- $-25.9k
- Volume
- $444.6k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $9.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.3kat 0.817Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
- +$2.6kat 0.630US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$2.6kat 0.580US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.799Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$1.9kat 0.469US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 00:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.92 | $2.0k |
| 08-02 00:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.0k |
| 08-01 22:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7596064208 | $193.00 |
| 08-01 22:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $55.11 |
| 08-01 22:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $137.90 |
| 08-01 21:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7799999999 | $1.3k |
| 08-01 21:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.6704212582 | $348.00 |
| 08-01 21:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7567976529 | $1.3k |
| 07-30 11:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.9119618781 | $668.39 |
| 07-30 11:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.9199999997 | $133.00 |
| 07-30 11:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.9009319704 | $35.00 |
| 07-30 11:24 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.9183584457 | $2.0k |
| 07-30 11:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.9084872134 | $250.00 |
| 07-30 11:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.8910099789 | $428.00 |
| 07-29 16:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.7484824034 | $242.42 |