Picklefrost
0xdc27fc4c9b052c8ecb96d81b3b903c40ac000ff4
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-22.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) · Spurs | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.64 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5 · Over | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.97 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.86 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 · Over | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| XRP Up or Down - December 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.54 |
| Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.59 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.17 |
| Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$325.00 |
| Will FC Cajamarca win on 2026-07-17? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.70 |
| XRP Up or Down - December 17, 12PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| XRP Up or Down - July 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$494.50at 0.500XRP Up or Down - December 17, 10AM ET
- +$418.50at 0.500XRP Up or Down - December 17, 11AM ET
- +$188.50at 0.42076ers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
- +$57.50at 0.500XRP Up or Down - December 17, 2PM ET
- +$56.89at 0.500XRP Up or Down - December 17, 1PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 05:43 | XRP Up or Down - July 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.85 |
| 07-27 04:22 | XRP Up or Down - July 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.55 |
| 07-16 02:40 | Will FC Cajamarca win on 2026-07-17? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 07-09 02:34 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.52 | $0.10 |
| 06-28 09:43 | Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $2.54 |
| 06-26 08:50 | Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $2.98 |
| 06-21 08:04 | San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.56 | $3.36 |
| 06-12 06:11 | Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $3.05 |
| 06-08 05:46 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.993 | $471.68 |
| 05-26 08:10 | Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | BUY | 0.31 | $1.64 |
| 05-25 08:12 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5 | BUY | 0.72 | $3.67 |
| 05-19 09:37 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.991 | $470.73 |
| 12-18 06:04 | XRP Up or Down - December 17, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $113.89 |
| 12-17 12:05 | XRP Up or Down - December 17, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $57.00 |
| 12-17 12:00 | XRP Up or Down - December 17, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $418.50 |