Restgy
0xdb6ae1930d491e50957e161f2e87a500c03f56a8
- Realised P&L
- $-660.38
- Volume
- $77.5k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $10.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.00at 0.098Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?
- +$42.63at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?
- +$30.56at 0.450Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
- +$27.71at 0.317Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$1.94at 0.720Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:11 | Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:49 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0161780142 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 19:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0229376184 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0787020197 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 13:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999927 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 13:54 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 08-02 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2154876616 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0095026864 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0465618642 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 13:47 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 13:46 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0850195545 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 13:46 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0636363347 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0648148028 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2307692024 | $5.00 |