punit1
0xdb50cb576da9e970e5321fbdb61c63dbf5f7e61d
- Realised P&L
- $148.30
- Volume
- $39.1k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $535.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.979 | 0.993 | $535.95 | +$7.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.62at 0.912Will Solana reach $110 in July?
- +$22.85at 0.957Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?
- +$9.07at 0.968Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?
- +$9.05at 0.971Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?
- +$9.04at 0.976Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 08:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.988 | $307.74 |
| 08-01 08:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.988 | $217.36 |
| 07-20 18:35 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July? | BUY | 0.956 | $95.60 |
| 07-20 13:19 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $502.54 |
| 07-16 18:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.9799998236 | $3.00 |
| 07-16 17:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.9787038716 | $132.20 |
| 07-16 16:12 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.977 | $73.32 |
| 07-16 14:55 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.9705172414 | $105.54 |
| 07-16 07:27 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 16? | BUY | 0.9964983379 | $128.50 |
| 07-16 03:57 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.9728915603 | $114.30 |
| 07-06 04:19 | Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 6? | BUY | 0.9978452217 | $311.00 |
| 07-06 04:17 | Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 6? | BUY | 0.996663614 | $150.19 |
| 07-05 16:22 | Will Solana reach $90 on July 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $38.86 |
| 07-05 16:22 | Will Solana dip to $70 on July 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $47.19 |
| 07-05 16:21 | Will Solana reach $90 on July 5? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |