0xdaeae4c0dd80102add8756cda4c944e189027ccd
- Realised P&L
- $-45.64
- Volume
- $868.03
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $22.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.125 | $22.25 | −$2.67 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.84 |
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.56at 0.540New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
- +$-16.88at 0.800Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 21:34 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $33.13 |
| 05-30 22:26 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $50.00 |
| 05-02 17:27 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $9.44 |
| 05-02 17:25 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 03-25 00:43 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.84 |
| 03-25 00:43 | Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $24.92 |
| 03-25 00:43 | Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? | BUY | 0.03539136 | $17.70 |