FourCz
0xdab9e82e6648a829ea624ce65dd546d5c5329741
- Realised P&L
- $53.74
- Volume
- $31.3k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $950.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.21at 0.134Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$56.60at 0.565Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$43.74at 0.378Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$43.66at 0.078Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$39.05at 0.871Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 09:27 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.269 | $68.72 |
| 07-25 09:27 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.125 | $39.52 |
| 07-25 07:34 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.128 | $40.47 |
| 07-25 07:34 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.279 | $71.27 |
| 07-14 14:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $5.40 |
| 07-14 14:37 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $9.30 |
| 07-14 14:37 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 07-14 14:37 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 07-14 14:36 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.141 | $29.72 |
| 07-14 14:36 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.278 | $47.34 |
| 07-13 03:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.626 | $12.52 |
| 07-13 03:07 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $9.90 |
| 07-12 04:16 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.263 | $59.72 |
| 05-12 14:39 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 14:39 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |