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Traders

Castiell

0xda58787f4cdf052a58c7c560cf8acbe4a4e64e79

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$1.56M
Markets traded
2,525
Open portfolio
$8.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,525
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C or higher on August 6? · No0.9980.995$1.6k$5.29
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on August 4? · No0.9991.000$1.0k+$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 4? · No0.9991.000$914.51+$0.46
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on August 4? · No0.9991.000$859.81+$0.43
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 4? · No0.9991.000$639.68+$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 5? · No0.9980.999$567.34+$0.28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 4? · No0.9991.000$509.64+$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or higher on August 6? · No0.9980.998$498.75$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 5? · No0.9980.998$419.16+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 4? · No0.9991.000$408.79+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C or higher on August 5? · No0.9991.000$299.85+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on August 5? · No0.9980.998$217.24$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 5? · No0.9980.999$106.42+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on August 5? · No0.9960.999$86.55+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 31°C on August 5? · No0.9950.999$68.84+$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 22:52Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C or higher on August 6?BUY0.998$14.97
08-04 22:10Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C or higher on August 6?BUY0.998$648.70
08-04 20:58Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on August 5?BUY0.998$38.60
08-04 20:46Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 75°F or below on August 4?BUY0.997$600.00
08-04 20:45Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 75°F or below on August 4?BUY0.996$440.03
08-04 20:20Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on August 5?SELL0.999$9.47
08-04 20:19Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on August 5?BUY0.998$9.46
08-04 19:45Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 4?BUY0.999$509.39
08-04 19:40Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 4?BUY0.999$914.06
08-04 19:33Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C or higher on August 6?BUY0.998$40.59
08-04 18:35Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C or higher on August 5?BUY0.999$299.70
08-04 18:27Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 4?BUY0.999$408.58
08-04 17:00Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.999$299.70
08-04 16:59Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 4?BUY0.999$639.36
08-04 15:42Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on August 5?BUY0.998$885.20