wiaong
0xda1ecb13ce2c1b4f4e9d2b2feed9eca0e8a9cd17
- Realised P&L
- $54.76
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $48.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? · No | 0.995 | 0.994 | $12.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026? · No | 0.988 | 0.987 | $12.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Solana reach $140 in August? · No | 0.996 | 0.993 | $11.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.974 | 0.975 | $11.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.90at 0.988Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$2.66at 0.830Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
- +$1.63at 0.930Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?
- +$1.62at 0.940No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
- +$0.44at 0.910Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:12 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026? | BUY | 0.9879999997 | $13.00 |
| 08-03 03:12 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.973999952 | $11.00 |
| 08-03 03:11 | Will Solana reach $140 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $12.00 |
| 08-03 03:11 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? | BUY | 0.995 | $13.00 |
| 08-03 03:09 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.945 | $20.69 |
| 06-29 14:18 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.9266154691 | $20.29 |
| 06-29 14:18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $13.00 |
| 06-29 14:18 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.8299999572 | $13.00 |
| 06-29 14:17 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.02 |
| 06-29 14:16 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.18 |
| 05-08 01:38 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.10 |
| 05-08 01:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY | 0.990999935 | $10.00 |
| 05-08 01:36 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $12.00 |
| 05-08 01:35 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9839999934 | $12.00 |
| 03-10 03:06 | AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9909999995 | $14.85 |