PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x15

0xd9b6489d6992ee16913e004a18dc6976f12acc71

Realised P&L
$393.14
Volume
$38.1k
Markets traded
182
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded182
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4240.491$259.04+$35.58
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.125$241.63$125.73
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5210.902$184.50+$77.90
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1420.080$152.46$119.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3780.545$87.19+$26.70
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5420.835$38.57+$13.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2670.250$37.50$2.50
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.3800.250$34.19$17.81
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.6390.390$27.78$17.72
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.5430.330$27.64$17.86
Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.4530.760$22.80+$9.20
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.6490.895$20.69+$5.69
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.5580.765$18.98+$5.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5750.370$14.80$8.20
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6670.900$10.13+$2.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 08:18Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.27$143.77
07-25 08:17Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.125$108.65
07-25 07:24Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.28$149.09
07-25 07:24Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.132$40.11
05-23 00:14Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999177$1.50
05-23 00:14Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.18$12.70
05-23 00:13Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.76$2.85
05-23 00:13Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.76$11.40
05-12 01:29Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.149999976$5.00
05-12 01:28Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
05-12 01:28Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
05-12 01:28Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
05-12 01:28Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.6174769939$32.21
05-11 00:11Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$10.00
05-11 00:11Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999889$8.00