0x15
0xd9b6489d6992ee16913e004a18dc6976f12acc71
- Realised P&L
- $393.14
- Volume
- $38.1k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.44at 0.151Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$99.50at 0.502Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$79.10at 0.785Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
- +$71.69at 0.946Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$66.52at 0.900Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 08:18 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.27 | $143.77 |
| 07-25 08:17 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.125 | $108.65 |
| 07-25 07:24 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.28 | $149.09 |
| 07-25 07:24 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.132 | $40.11 |
| 05-23 00:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999177 | $1.50 |
| 05-23 00:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $12.70 |
| 05-23 00:13 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $2.85 |
| 05-23 00:13 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $11.40 |
| 05-12 01:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 01:28 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 01:28 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 01:28 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 01:28 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6174769939 | $32.21 |
| 05-11 00:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 00:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999889 | $8.00 |