jtcr381v3
0xd98816610f42abea11a18be3b5df50a907086ce5
- Realised P&L
- $-198.84
- Volume
- $22.3k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $86.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.94at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?
- +$51.39at 0.662Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?
- +$47.23at 0.582Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 10?
- +$44.02at 0.583Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 25?
- +$43.28at 0.522Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.89 |
| 08-04 18:54 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-04 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 08-04 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 08-04 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 08-04 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.36 | $13.68 |
| 08-04 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.76 |
| 08-03 23:39 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 08-03 23:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.47 | $1.51 |
| 08-03 23:37 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.98 | $34.30 |
| 08-03 23:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.48 |
| 08-03 23:27 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 08-03 23:27 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 08-03 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.04 |
| 08-03 22:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |