0xD8FC40367f3C1cB122265a42F985634543305DaF-1771851413830
0xd8fc40367f3c1cb122265a42f985634543305daf
- Realised P&L
- $-80.48
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $103.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.520 | $41.60 | +$0.00 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.565 | $36.72 | +$2.27 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.505 | $22.72 | −$0.23 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.033 | $2.92 | −$11.97 |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.002 | $0.12 | −$5.17 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$41.13 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.13 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? · Under | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.20 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.515 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.09 |
| Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.65 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1? · Over | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.20 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.10 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? · Under | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.50 |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries · Toronto Tempo | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.00at 0.437Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?
- +$82.10at 0.254Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)
- +$76.45at 0.366Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
- +$73.00at 0.513Games Total: O/U 2.5
- +$71.80at 0.263Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 17:00 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.585 | $23.40 |
| 07-30 07:19 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $35.40 |
| 07-26 14:51 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.34 | $13.60 |
| 07-25 17:14 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.88 |
| 07-25 15:55 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.72 |
| 07-23 08:20 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | BUY | 0.42 | $21.00 |
| 07-20 08:26 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.957178 | $90.93 |
| 07-20 08:26 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.3588234229 | $269.56 |
| 07-20 08:25 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.3538591919 | $70.06 |
| 07-20 08:25 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.8876169428 | $137.15 |
| 07-15 20:54 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.229 | $16.03 |
| 07-14 21:04 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.17 | $6.21 |
| 07-14 20:41 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.36 | $12.60 |
| 07-14 20:40 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.359 | $4.67 |
| 07-14 20:25 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3159999846 | $10.00 |