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Traders

falvon

0xd8e97709e6da33bb048dc692b49542aaf408858c

Realised P&L
$-202.14
Volume
$10.3k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$21.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1700.077$9.06$10.94
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? · Yes0.1200.085$6.83$2.81
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1400.085$6.07$3.93
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.0220.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election? · No0.0380.000$0.00$7.46
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? · Yes0.2590.000$0.00$110.00
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? · No0.4900.000$0.00$10.00
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$6.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$3.00
Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$10.00
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? · No0.2990.000$0.00$20.00
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-24 05:44Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?BUY0.1199999899$9.30
04-24 05:43China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
04-08 05:31Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.088$6.77
04-08 05:30China x Japan military clash before 2027?SELL0.13$9.28
04-08 05:29Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.0701156067$20.03
03-19 13:45China coup attempt before 2027?SELL0.050801026$6.04
03-19 13:45US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?BUY0.4199999899$10.00
03-19 13:40US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?BUY0.409999991$10.00
03-19 13:39Will Trump visit China by April 30?BUY0.389999986$10.00
03-19 13:33US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?BUY0.4899999814$10.00
03-19 13:33US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?BUY0.2989774895$20.00
03-09 13:47Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?SELL0.25$27.78
03-03 06:29Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.2699999937$30.00
02-28 07:18US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.0219999979$10.00
02-26 11:51Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? BUY0.2594550614$110.00