falvon
0xd8e97709e6da33bb048dc692b49542aaf408858c
- Realised P&L
- $-202.14
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $21.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.20at 0.415US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
- +$9.47at 0.950Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
- +$0.52at 0.976Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?
- +$0.03at 0.070Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- +$-2.22at 0.270Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 05:44 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $9.30 |
| 04-24 05:43 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 04-08 05:31 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.088 | $6.77 |
| 04-08 05:30 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $9.28 |
| 04-08 05:29 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.0701156067 | $20.03 |
| 03-19 13:45 | China coup attempt before 2027? | SELL | 0.050801026 | $6.04 |
| 03-19 13:45 | US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 03-19 13:40 | US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 03-19 13:39 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 03-19 13:33 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 03-19 13:33 | US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | BUY | 0.2989774895 | $20.00 |
| 03-09 13:47 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $27.78 |
| 03-03 06:29 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.2699999937 | $30.00 |
| 02-28 07:18 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0219999979 | $10.00 |
| 02-26 11:51 | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BUY | 0.2594550614 | $110.00 |