SUGARTRADES
0xd8e44b9d85636184ec25fe5e26551c1ba59553bb
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $72.6k
- Markets traded
- 741
- Open portfolio
- $10.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded741
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$568.93at 0.207Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova
- +$235.48at 0.555Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic
- +$119.05at 0.420Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider
- +$100.20at 0.545Knicks vs. Cavaliers
- +$96.91at 0.340Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 17:02 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 17:02 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0299999971 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 17:01 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0369999965 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 17:01 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.016 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 16:56 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.412999999 | $200.00 |
| 07-19 16:56 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.4075 | $198.78 |
| 07-19 16:52 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999988 | $200.00 |
| 07-16 10:52 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.417 | $83.40 |
| 07-15 09:22 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4001790917 | $200.00 |
| 07-12 11:24 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.19 | $38.00 |
| 07-12 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 13? | SELL | 0.1965881134 | $15.18 |
| 07-12 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 13? | BUY | 0.3534351936 | $27.30 |
| 07-12 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 13? | SELL | 0.24 | $5.15 |
| 07-12 03:47 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 13? | SELL | 0.27 | $9.30 |
| 07-12 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 13? | BUY | 0.2970052234 | $10.23 |