PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xd8Dbeda29673Fc53a0b35C5f8AD432317Cad1b67-1772557402715

0xd8dbeda29673fc53a0b35c5f8ad432317cad1b67

Realised P&L
$-208.13
Volume
$155.7k
Markets traded
940
Open portfolio
$1.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded940
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0030.002$1.00$1.00
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0030.002$0.29$0.29
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0060.002$0.05$0.16
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? · Yes0.0080.004$0.05$0.05
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$1.46
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.9% in April? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$1.65
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.12
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$0.22
Will Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.04
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$1.79
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$0.10
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.20
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be negative? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$30.00
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$0.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-30 11:38Will President Trump sign 0 pieces of legislation into law in April?SELL0.01$0.05
04-27 04:01Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?SELL0.0321002607$3.20
04-23 01:01Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?SELL0.0148294166$0.54
04-19 21:31Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?SELL0.042$0.21
04-18 04:16Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?BUY0.02$0.10
04-17 04:31Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?SELL0.004$1.16
04-16 10:07Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the April meeting?SELL0.003$0.05
04-14 00:31Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?SELL0.031$0.18
04-13 07:31Will Trump deport 900k-1m people?SELL0.0064839255$0.80
04-13 05:01Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.006964427$2.83
04-12 15:00Will Punjab FC win on 2026-04-04?SELL0.002$0.02
04-11 15:03Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?SELL0.99340775$39.74
04-11 15:03Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?SELL0.993$39.72
04-11 14:31Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 6.0%?SELL0.003$0.08
04-11 03:57Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?BUY0.994$19.88