0xd8Dbeda29673Fc53a0b35C5f8AD432317Cad1b67-1772557402715
0xd8dbeda29673fc53a0b35c5f8ad432317cad1b67
- Realised P&L
- $-208.13
- Volume
- $155.7k
- Markets traded
- 940
- Open portfolio
- $1.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded940
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.46at 0.008Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?
- +$8.72at 0.003Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?
- +$8.27at 0.002Will 130 to 149 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
- +$6.70at 0.003Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$5.73at 0.001Will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 11:38 | Will President Trump sign 0 pieces of legislation into law in April? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 04-27 04:01 | Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026? | SELL | 0.0321002607 | $3.20 |
| 04-23 01:01 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0148294166 | $0.54 |
| 04-19 21:31 | Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April? | SELL | 0.042 | $0.21 |
| 04-18 04:16 | Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 04-17 04:31 | Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.16 |
| 04-16 10:07 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the April meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.05 |
| 04-14 00:31 | Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.18 |
| 04-13 07:31 | Will Trump deport 900k-1m people? | SELL | 0.0064839255 | $0.80 |
| 04-13 05:01 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.006964427 | $2.83 |
| 04-12 15:00 | Will Punjab FC win on 2026-04-04? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 04-11 15:03 | Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season? | SELL | 0.99340775 | $39.74 |
| 04-11 15:03 | Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? | SELL | 0.993 | $39.72 |
| 04-11 14:31 | Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 6.0%? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.08 |
| 04-11 03:57 | Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? | BUY | 0.994 | $19.88 |