PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xD8B03569Aca777b05FE5299BAE0C0fC1960F2dE4-1769476547629

0xd8b03569aca777b05fe5299bae0c0fc1960f2de4

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$555.6k
Markets traded
872
Open portfolio
$89.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded872
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President by August 31? · Yes0.0100.009$89.25$6.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down0.6000.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Down0.1300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET · Up0.1810.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Down0.3900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 20:47Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.0101694486$95.54
07-13 20:01Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.006$4.00
07-13 19:09Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.0060000001$1.00
07-13 19:09Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.006$5.00
07-12 20:33Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.0070000001$1.00
07-12 20:32Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.0070000001$1.00
07-12 20:32Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.0069536424$30.00
07-07 20:01Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.005999994$1.00
07-07 20:01Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.006$3.00
07-07 19:55Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.4$1.00
07-07 19:51Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.0058780948$9.00
07-07 19:50Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.005$10.00
07-05 18:32Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETSELL0.5$1.19
07-05 18:31Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.4199998236$1.00
07-05 15:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETSELL0.21$0.81