0xD89930F4941FBCb78C3aFFf7424283799FC136F6-1777232843588
0xd89930f4941fbcb78c3afff7424283799fc136f6
- Realised P&L
- $-148.59
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.773 | 0.815 | $863.46 | +$44.36 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.814 | 0.945 | $614.22 | +$85.25 |
| Spain snap election called in 2026? · No | 0.712 | 0.775 | $422.37 | +$34.37 |
| Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.955 | $47.75 | +$5.75 |
| Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.025 | $2.93 | +$0.23 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$304.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.54at 0.947Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?
- +$7.11at 0.966Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.60at 0.005Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?
- +$-35.12at 0.189Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 15:11 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $205.00 |
| 04-28 09:47 | Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April? | BUY | 0.188585 | $37.72 |
| 04-28 09:46 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9656770774 | $200.00 |
| 04-28 09:46 | Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April? | BUY | 0.9699999999 | $200.00 |
| 04-28 09:45 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9108009105 | $200.00 |