PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xD89930F4941FBCb78C3aFFf7424283799FC136F6-1777232843588

0xd89930f4941fbcb78c3afff7424283799fc136f6

Realised P&L
$-148.59
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.7730.815$863.46+$44.36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8140.945$614.22+$85.25
Spain snap election called in 2026? · No0.7120.775$422.37+$34.37
Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? · Yes0.8400.955$47.75+$5.75
Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? · Yes0.0230.025$2.93+$0.23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00$304.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$3.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-28 15:11Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.82$205.00
04-28 09:47Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?BUY0.188585$37.72
04-28 09:46Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9656770774$200.00
04-28 09:46Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?BUY0.9699999999$200.00
04-28 09:45Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9108009105$200.00