0xD8536BA609964DEA620fC9b5c78afbb728aE4de5-1778074438880
0xd8536ba609964dea620fc9b5c78afbb728ae4de5
- Realised P&L
- $-19.91
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $44.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.280 | $25.20 | +$5.20 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.335 | $19.61 | −$4.39 |
| Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.754 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.82at 0.550Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$14.10at 0.780Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
- +$4.59at 0.916Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
- +$-16.78at 0.027Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 08:54 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.2222222222 | $20.00 |
| 05-12 10:43 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $34.00 |
| 05-12 10:42 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0176285811 | $33.22 |
| 05-12 10:41 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4099999925 | $24.00 |
| 05-12 10:40 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0265317356 | $50.00 |
| 05-12 10:37 | Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.7540026609 | $50.00 |
| 05-12 10:36 | Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? | BUY | 0.9159999987 | $50.00 |
| 05-12 10:36 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $50.00 |