PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

AbigailHolland4668

0xd80d0465577d88c0f609daa8fb9b90eec2aeb42b

Realised P&L
$154.00
Volume
$56.4k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Under0.7100.850$634.95+$104.58
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · No0.8100.955$217.74+$33.06
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · No0.4901.000$188.00+$95.88
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.060$6.36$19.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 14:26New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.89$178.89
04-23 10:01Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?BUY0.81$184.68
04-11 23:33New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.88$184.80
03-22 15:27New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.88$361.68
03-16 01:10Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?SELL0.54$110.16
03-16 01:10Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?SELL0.54$3.24
03-16 00:25Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?SELL0.34$195.84
03-16 00:24Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?SELL0.34$64.60
03-14 09:54Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?BUY0.73$153.30
03-14 08:58New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5BUY0.71$530.37
03-14 06:26Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?BUY0.61$467.26
02-23 18:43Will Trump say "Noem" during the State of the Union address?SELL0.63$8.19
02-23 18:41Will Trump say "Noem" during the State of the Union address?SELL0.63$202.23
02-23 18:40Will Trump say "Noem" during the State of the Union address?SELL0.62$12.40
02-23 18:38Will Trump say "Noem" during the State of the Union address?SELL0.63$268.38