PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

GambleHelp

0xd7df101e5d97853403affd11a8b4f1f15a88c541

Realised P&L
$236.05
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$211.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? · No0.7450.810$211.00+$16.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Down0.4200.000$0.00$0.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET · Down0.6300.000$0.00$0.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Up0.1480.000$0.00$37.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$2.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET · Up0.4090.000$0.00$34.47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET · Up0.3900.000$0.00$4.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET · Down0.3470.000$0.00$5.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-04 18:10Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?SELL0.92$46.00
07-04 18:10Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?SELL0.92$0.92
07-04 18:10Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?SELL0.920445$18.41
05-21 07:48Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?SELL0.888$10.44
05-21 07:48Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?SELL0.64$5.61
04-11 04:11Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETBUY0.4899999951$2.78
04-11 04:09Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETSELL0.01$0.66
04-11 04:05Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETBUY0.189999988$8.83
04-11 04:05Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETBUY0.289999964$4.49
04-11 04:00Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETSELL0.26$6.79
04-11 04:00Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETBUY0.1799999755$4.41
04-11 03:56Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETSELL0.23$7.71
04-11 03:56Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.1399999787$4.38
04-11 03:54Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETSELL0.04$0.21
04-11 03:53Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETBUY0.1799998704$0.88