ijfa
0xd7c0ef47d7bafded1f6bd82b614b21386b333019
- Realised P&L
- $-19.36
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $129.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $129.70 | +$0.00 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.47at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 6?
- +$0.40at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on July 12?
- +$0.39at 0.770Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
- +$0.38at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 22?
- +$0.31at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $129.70 |
| 07-30 11:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $129.60 |
| 07-24 15:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $129.40 |
| 07-17 14:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $129.10 |
| 07-13 10:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 16? | BUY | 0.9982255806 | $128.90 |
| 07-07 11:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on July 12? | BUY | 0.9969138657 | $128.50 |
| 07-02 11:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 6? | BUY | 0.9963653326 | $128.00 |
| 06-28 10:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on July 1? | BUY | 0.9982507259 | $127.90 |
| 06-23 10:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $127.70 |
| 06-16 12:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 22? | BUY | 0.997 | $127.00 |
| 06-15 11:13 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 08:50 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 18:14 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | SELL | 0.76 | $138.79 |
| 06-12 17:54 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.7699999997 | $148.02 |
| 06-12 17:54 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | SELL | 0.8 | $149.98 |