viktoriada
0xd7b61790e86fac88fe1424b2b422624c2ee8f4fd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.47
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $0.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zachary Roper win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.39 | −$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.00at 0.001Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
- +$0.29at 0.001Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by between 3% and 6%?
- +$0.20at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
- +$0.20at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 9?
- +$0.18at 0.872Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 10:17 | Will Zachary Roper win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.79 |
| 06-15 11:09 | Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.99 |
| 05-10 19:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May? | SELL | 0.997 | $129.61 |
| 05-10 19:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $129.74 |
| 04-04 10:45 | Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 03-02 23:44 | Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 02-15 01:21 | Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by between 3% and 6%? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.67 |
| 01-14 00:16 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.881 | $17.62 |
| 12-27 03:53 | Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.98 |
| 12-17 23:38 | Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $197.38 |
| 12-13 21:03 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $197.18 |
| 12-09 00:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $196.99 |
| 11-27 22:03 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.01 |