0xd792b2ecdb8a329c2af0876937fd8c2c468ce744
- Realised P&L
- $39.63
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $7.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.138 | 0.100 | $7.23 | −$2.77 |
| Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.004 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.27at 0.070Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$26.18at 0.180Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)
- +$22.10at 0.230England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$17.50at 0.160Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$10.96at 0.350Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 20:27 | Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5) | SELL | 0.81 | $6.86 |
| 07-31 19:46 | Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1799999805 | $6.10 |
| 07-31 19:46 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.099 | $7.16 |
| 07-28 18:09 | Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.005999994 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 18:13 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.138287812 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 02:48 | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.08 | $1.80 |
| 07-19 02:48 | Lionel Messi: 3+ goals + assists | BUY | 0.08 | $1.50 |
| 07-18 22:39 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.462 | $8.53 |
| 07-18 22:35 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.94 | $17.46 |
| 07-18 22:17 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.221 | $8.16 |
| 07-18 22:12 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.0879999881 | $6.50 |
| 07-16 01:09 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3499999758 | $6.50 |
| 07-15 21:17 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.68 | $28.37 |
| 07-15 21:15 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6709999928 | $28.00 |
| 07-15 20:57 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.89 | $23.83 |