0xd770ac5face3bdf87de82f9bafc66eebcd3e209d
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $294.6k
- Markets traded
- 729
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded729
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-02? · No | 0.871 | 0.890 | $242.08 | +$5.10 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners | 0.608 | 0.608 | $164.63 | −$0.20 |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-02? · No | 0.929 | 0.930 | $158.45 | +$0.11 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners · Minnesota Twins | 0.416 | 0.393 | $128.67 | −$7.80 |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-02? · No | 0.728 | 0.805 | $126.08 | +$12.07 |
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.902 | 0.981 | $121.59 | +$9.71 |
| National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell · Christopher OConnell | 0.574 | 0.585 | $105.18 | +$1.97 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.615 | 0.615 | $99.02 | −$0.04 |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.890 | 1.000 | $98.46 | +$10.79 |
| Spread: Athletics (-1.5) · Detroit Tigers | 0.795 | 0.992 | $98.36 | +$19.51 |
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.888 | 0.980 | $97.45 | +$9.10 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.771 | 1.000 | $96.52 | +$22.07 |
| Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.262 | 1.000 | $95.94 | +$70.76 |
| Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.886 | 1.000 | $95.05 | +$10.81 |
| Will GKS Katowice vs. RKS Radomiak Radom end in a draw? · No | 0.730 | 1.000 | $94.95 | +$25.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$458.41at 0.023The Hundred: London Spirit vs Southern Brave
- +$363.08at 0.302UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)
- +$332.69at 0.954Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky
- +$328.71at 0.059The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants
- +$302.36at 0.030Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:47 | Will Leeds United win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.3450963636 | $37.96 |
| 08-02 21:23 | Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.76 | $9.12 |
| 08-02 21:23 | Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.76 | $73.72 |
| 08-02 21:17 | Will CSD Macara win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.19 | $17.29 |
| 08-02 21:06 | Will CSD Macara win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.75 | $48.32 |
| 08-02 20:14 | Will Ascoli Calcio 1898 win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.59 | $10.62 |
| 08-02 20:14 | Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.6760869565 | $31.10 |
| 08-02 19:04 | Will SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4765068966 | $27.64 |
| 08-02 17:29 | Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.70 |
| 08-02 17:07 | Will CS Cristal vs. ADC Juan Pablo II College end in a draw? | BUY | 0.74 | $65.12 |
| 08-02 16:40 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.45 | $40.50 |
| 08-02 16:40 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.5 | $49.00 |
| 08-02 16:18 | Will Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.68 | $52.36 |
| 08-02 16:18 | Will Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.68 | $69.36 |
| 08-02 14:46 | Will AIK win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.63 | $28.35 |