meulenbet
0xd7283d1154689bb919bc4959a1f225e48313b1cb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $422.1k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes | 0.207 | 0.322 | $3.4k | +$1.2k |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$550.00 |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Spread: France (-1.5) · France | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.4k |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) · Argentina | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.525Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$1.9kat 0.510Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$1.1kat 0.497Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
- +$1.1kat 0.078Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?
- +$1.1kat 0.600Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 21:08 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.221 | $442.00 |
| 07-29 21:08 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.22084 | $552.10 |
| 07-29 21:07 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.21667015 | $216.67 |
| 07-29 10:55 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.2139834667 | $556.14 |
| 07-29 10:53 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.1835815195 | $306.83 |
| 07-29 10:51 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.1263702925 | $79.33 |
| 07-07 01:37 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $330.00 |
| 07-06 03:44 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $2.2k |
| 07-06 03:22 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.53 | $1.3k |
| 07-05 21:55 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.51 | $2.0k |
| 07-05 21:51 | Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.26 | $349.25 |
| 07-05 21:49 | Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.27 | $663.24 |
| 07-04 23:17 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.2k |
| 07-04 23:13 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.53 | $3.1k |
| 07-04 23:09 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.54 | $3.2k |