kaya55
0xd717fa91bd07d660687dcb933f1b79eee698a96d
- Realised P&L
- $13.84
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $44.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.26at 0.111Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on July 25?
- +$42.24at 0.356Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 21?
- +$26.41at 0.327Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$23.25at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 31?
- +$21.35at 0.288Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.66 |
| 08-04 00:16 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.84 |
| 08-04 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.82 |
| 08-03 18:33 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.26 | $6.50 |
| 08-03 18:33 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.42 | $10.50 |
| 08-03 18:29 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.98 |
| 08-03 18:28 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.98 |
| 08-03 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.47 |
| 08-02 19:22 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 08-02 19:22 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.61 |
| 08-02 19:21 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.83 |
| 08-02 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.98 |
| 08-02 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.45 |
| 08-02 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |