Newmonkey22
0xd6f7063b91a1b467cdef15f8066c49c0958d9dba
- Realised P&L
- $-160.12
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 771
- Open portfolio
- $3.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded771
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.39at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
- +$42.15at 0.137Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on April 15?
- +$41.63at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
- +$39.75at 0.451Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
- +$38.43at 0.282Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.925 | $1.08 |
| 08-04 07:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.9099999742 | $1.06 |
| 08-04 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.19 |
| 08-04 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.9199999653 | $1.06 |
| 08-03 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.02 |
| 08-03 06:01 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.02 |
| 08-03 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.936999969 | $1.12 |
| 08-03 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.9099999512 | $1.12 |
| 08-01 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.22 |
| 08-01 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9499995717 | $1.22 |
| 08-01 22:00 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.9399999692 | $1.22 |
| 08-01 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9299999564 | $1.28 |
| 07-31 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.9399999845 | $1.21 |
| 07-31 17:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.928999957 | $1.21 |
| 07-31 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.9259996313 | $1.08 |