0xd6BDef7bF7A3f5B7F99CC844df961Ba6A329A19a-1773489801872
0xd6bdef7bf7a3f5b7f99cc844df961ba6a329a19a
- Realised P&L
- $0.22
- Volume
- $25.3k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $15.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 5? · No | 0.991 | 0.998 | $15.96 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.69at 0.974Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$0.27at 0.990Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on March 1?
- +$0.22at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.14at 0.995Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on March 16?
- +$0.07at 0.996Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 06:55 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.96 |
| 06-22 07:52 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.16 |
| 05-20 02:50 | Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.48 |
| 05-19 04:11 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.84 |
| 04-25 04:17 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $8.61 |
| 04-23 08:17 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.72 |
| 04-22 09:07 | Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.94 |
| 04-21 08:28 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.12 |
| 04-20 07:44 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.76 |
| 02-12 01:01 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9739999999 | $25.94 |