PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xd6BDef7bF7A3f5B7F99CC844df961Ba6A329A19a-1773489801872

0xd6bdef7bf7a3f5b7f99cc844df961ba6a329a19a

Realised P&L
$0.22
Volume
$25.3k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$15.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 5? · No0.9910.998$15.96+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 06:55Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$7.96
06-22 07:52Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.008$10.16
05-20 02:50Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.006$9.48
05-19 04:11Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$9.84
04-25 04:17Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.007$8.61
04-23 08:17Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.009$9.72
04-22 09:07Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.007$9.94
04-21 08:28Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.011$10.12
04-20 07:44Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$9.76
02-12 01:01Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.9739999999$25.94