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RewardsNinja

0xd5beaefade3d43c861d9031387c265cd709e0e42

Realised P&L
$-4.1k
Volume
$338.7k
Markets traded
443
Open portfolio
$5.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded443
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.8630.964$688.29+$72.21
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.9790.987$652.19+$5.45
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · No0.8850.887$582.94+$1.23
Iran leadership change by August 31? · No0.9550.974$520.59+$10.36
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? · No0.9640.988$385.40+$9.23
Yoon out of custody before 2027? · No0.8570.903$302.82+$15.47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8710.945$262.31+$20.62
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9630.981$245.25+$4.57
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · No0.9830.988$243.48+$1.23
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.9230.954$225.96+$7.34
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No0.8800.898$224.50+$4.50
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9400.978$210.92+$8.09
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.9400.935$181.36$0.97
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8700.935$150.38+$10.45
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9400.955$142.47+$2.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 14:17Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.95$12.48
08-04 13:30Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?BUY0.96$85.38
08-04 10:16Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9564513527$170.76
08-04 10:16Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?BUY0.953$11.91
08-04 02:32Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?SELL0.961$0.07
08-04 02:32Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?SELL0.961$1.91
08-04 02:32Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?SELL0.961$0.08
08-04 02:32Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?SELL0.961$0.77
08-03 19:47Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.981$18.04
08-03 18:16Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?SELL0.966$124.13
08-03 18:16Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?SELL0.966$0.74
08-03 14:56Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.998$0.52
08-03 14:41Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.9754816956$20.25
08-03 13:40Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.981$2.64
08-03 13:16Iran leadership change by September 30?SELL0.05$1.93
Trader RewardsNinja · PolyBot