0xd59ec2ddA9B76ae535C162a36CEF7826Bb7C809f-1765722688544
0xd59ec2dda9b76ae535c162a36cef7826bb7c809f
- Realised P&L
- $-73.51
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $2.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.043 | $2.16 | −$2.84 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Up | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Up | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? · Yes | 0.549 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.58at 0.589Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$8.68at 0.340Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?
- +$6.86at 0.679Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of January 2026?
- +$3.84at 0.290Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$2.11at 0.520Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 13:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $4.73 |
| 05-09 13:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5699998906 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 13:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 13:20 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $7.11 |
| 05-09 13:20 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 13:19 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 15:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $9.42 |
| 05-08 15:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | SELL | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 05-08 15:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 13:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $6.69 |
| 04-30 13:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 01-29 15:28 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January? | BUY | 0.6699999794 | $25.00 |
| 01-29 10:18 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | BUY | 0.5495543032 | $20.00 |
| 01-29 10:15 | Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026? | SELL | 0.3352814371 | $24.64 |
| 01-29 10:15 | Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of January 2026? | SELL | 0.912 | $26.86 |