mendes01
0xd538c468aa40b7c73faa6e085b7225201fdc0c3f
- Realised P&L
- $-33.42
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 613
- Open portfolio
- $2.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded613
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.41at 0.770Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$1.79at 0.839Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$1.64at 0.857MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.59at 0.769Patriots vs. Bengals
- +$1.54at 0.640Cardano ETF in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 22:12 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? | SELL | 0.165 | $0.39 |
| 08-01 22:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.43 |
| 08-01 22:12 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.44 |
| 08-01 22:12 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.67 |
| 08-01 22:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.81 |
| 08-01 22:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $0.95 |
| 08-01 22:12 | Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.951 | $0.97 |
| 08-01 22:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.966 | $1.04 |
| 08-01 22:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $1.01 |
| 08-01 22:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.06 |
| 08-01 22:11 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $1.37 |
| 08-01 22:11 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.19 |
| 08-01 22:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.964 | $1.07 |
| 08-01 22:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.12 |
| 08-01 22:10 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.86 |