PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mendes01

0xd538c468aa40b7c73faa6e085b7225201fdc0c3f

Realised P&L
$-33.42
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
613
Open portfolio
$2.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded613
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8300.335$0.40$0.60
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? · Yes0.3300.115$0.35$0.65
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6400.165$0.26$0.74
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.038$0.19$0.81
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3900.065$0.17$0.83
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.036$0.15$0.85
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? · Yes0.8200.120$0.15$0.86
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.023$0.14$0.86
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9200.095$0.10$0.90
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6600.065$0.10$0.90
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5500.045$0.08$0.92
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-12-21? · No0.9300.000$0.00$1.00
Rockets vs. Kings · Rockets0.8400.000$0.00$1.20
Commanders vs. Eagles · Eagles0.7900.000$0.00$1.00
Lakers vs. Clippers · Lakers0.8700.000$0.00$1.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 22:12Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?SELL0.165$0.39
08-01 22:12Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$0.43
08-01 22:12Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?SELL0.27$0.44
08-01 22:12Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?SELL0.31$0.67
08-01 22:12Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.44$0.81
08-01 22:12Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.62$0.95
08-01 22:12Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.951$0.97
08-01 22:11Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.966$1.04
08-01 22:11Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.975$1.01
08-01 22:11Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.89$1.06
08-01 22:11Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.65$1.37
08-01 22:11Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.83$4.19
08-01 22:11Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.964$1.07
08-01 22:11Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$1.12
08-01 22:10Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.84$1.86