0xd4a0a6815f1367d7cf26849c7fd1e484b1330c7a
- Realised P&L
- $-260.83
- Volume
- $30.9k
- Markets traded
- 499
- Open portfolio
- $13.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded499
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.55at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 8?
- +$73.51at 0.639Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$57.44at 0.157Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 9?
- +$56.83at 0.470Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?
- +$54.11at 0.113Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $7.79 |
| 07-31 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.8399999957 | $7.74 |
| 07-31 11:30 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.9399999953 | $7.92 |
| 07-31 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.98 |
| 07-29 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 29? | BUY | 0.9199999954 | $7.92 |
| 07-24 23:59 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 24? | SELL | 0.99 | $9.11 |
| 07-24 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 24? | BUY | 0.8699999294 | $8.01 |
| 07-24 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 24? | SELL | 0.99 | $8.34 |
| 07-24 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.9399999953 | $7.92 |
| 07-23 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 23? | SELL | 0.98 | $3.86 |
| 07-23 23:12 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 23? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-23 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 23? | BUY | 0.9 | $8.05 |
| 07-23 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23? | SELL | 0.99 | $8.54 |
| 07-23 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.9249999942 | $7.99 |
| 07-20 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 20? | SELL | 0.98 | $9.12 |