PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xd4a0a6815f1367d7cf26849c7fd1e484b1330c7a

Realised P&L
$-260.83
Volume
$30.9k
Markets traded
499
Open portfolio
$13.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded499
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 17:01Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 31?BUY0.8$7.79
07-31 14:03Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 31?BUY0.8399999957$7.74
07-31 11:30Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 31?BUY0.9399999953$7.92
07-31 09:01Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 31?BUY0.94$7.98
07-29 22:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 29?BUY0.9199999954$7.92
07-24 23:59Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 24?SELL0.99$9.11
07-24 22:01Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 24?BUY0.8699999294$8.01
07-24 16:00Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 24?SELL0.99$8.34
07-24 14:00Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 24?BUY0.9399999953$7.92
07-23 23:17Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 23?SELL0.98$3.86
07-23 23:12Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 23?SELL0.99$4.95
07-23 22:00Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 23?BUY0.9$8.05
07-23 19:03Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?SELL0.99$8.54
07-23 18:03Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?BUY0.9249999942$7.99
07-20 15:45Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 20?SELL0.98$9.12