reward0404
0xd49829353a5e33f4d29bf976ac9be8bde744a6c5
- Realised P&L
- $-5.7k
- Volume
- $601.5k
- Markets traded
- 2,677
- Open portfolio
- $301.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,677
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.39at 0.590Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?
- +$5.54at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 9?
- +$3.86at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 6?
- +$3.38at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 20?
- +$2.90at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.62 | $32.45 |
| 08-04 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.62 | $19.41 |
| 08-04 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.415 | $16.60 |
| 08-04 19:57 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.42 | $14.70 |
| 08-04 19:39 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.24 |
| 08-04 19:27 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.66 | $2.21 |
| 08-04 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.11 |
| 08-04 18:36 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.38 | $8.55 |
| 08-04 18:31 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.4 | $12.80 |
| 08-04 17:59 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.5919109651 | $52.25 |
| 08-04 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.4034287674 | $23.53 |
| 08-04 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.6104010239 | $7.15 |
| 08-04 17:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.3002488677 | $60.32 |
| 08-04 17:25 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.62 | $6.69 |
| 08-04 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.5614172336 | $19.81 |